Research indicators · United States

Block One

A machine that reads the economy the way Ray Dalio's published frameworks do: many weak indicators standardised into gauges, gauges into regime maps, and declarative rules on top. Every number decomposes to its raw inputs.

What it publishes

Four regime maps (growth × inflation, the same against forecasts, the monetary-policy state, the big-debt-cycle phase), six composite gauges, eleven rules, and the full catalogue of series behind them — raw and derived, at native frequency.

How it is kept honest

Definitions are versioned data, not code. Raw observations are never mutated or deleted. Every computed value can be traced to its inputs through the API, and each series says which concept it stands in for and where it falls short.

What it is not

Block One publishes research indicators. It is never investment advice, a trade recommendation or a forecast; readings are at latest vintage, computed from today's revised data.

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